Melbourne coastal rental: do the A$1.102m numbers hold up?

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Property manager
The practical limit is how much cash I may need to put in during a weak year, not whether the advertised yield looks attractive. The property is a 4-bed coastal home in Melbourne priced at A$1,102,000, with expected rent of A$8,060 a month. On those figures the gross yield is about 8.8%.

That rent is still an estimate, and the apparently sound condition does not remove coastal maintenance risk. I am allowing for empty periods, management, regular upkeep and a larger repair, but insurance, owner-paid charges, property tax and acquisition costs could still change the outcome materially.

I plan to calculate both annual cash flow and return on the full capital committed. Which costs should be supported by actual notices or property-specific quotes before treating this as a viable rental? I would also be interested in how far you would reduce the rent assumption if there were no signed lease.
 
Separate acquisition costs from annual running costs. Purchase costs affect your total capital committed, while council and owner-paid water charges, insurance and any applicable land tax reduce annual yield. I would get actual notices or estimates for the property rather than use percentages. For a coastal home, obtain a property-specific insurance quote too; a generic Melbourne allowance may be misleading.
 
That distinction helps. I’ve been calculating gross yield against A$1,102,000, then treating transaction fees separately, but I should also calculate return on the full amount invested.

The A$8,060 is expected rent rather than contracted income. Would you put more weight on comparable signed leases, or simply stress the figure down and add a longer vacancy period?
 
Comparable signed leases, definitely. Stress testing a weak rent assumption just produces several versions of a weak assumption. Also establish whether A$8,060/month represents a stable long-term tenancy or relies on seasonal or furnished demand. Turnover, cleaning, utilities and empty periods can make those income types behave very differently even when the annual headline looks similar.
 
I’d also resist naming a minimum net yield without knowing the financing. An acceptable unlevered return can become poor cash flow once interest and repayments are included. Run at least three interest-cost cases and show the annual cash surplus after every owner-paid expense. If a modest financing change wipes it out, the 8.8% gross yield is giving false comfort.
 
At A$8,060 per month, annual gross rent is A$96,720. Build the operating statement from that number line by line: realistic collected rent after vacancy, management, insurance, council or water charges, maintenance and tax that applies to your ownership position. Then divide the remainder by both the purchase price and total cash committed. Those two yields answer different questions.
 
Tenant turnover deserves its own line rather than hiding inside vacancy. A change of tenant can combine lost rent with advertising, management charges and minor work between occupancies. You don’t need to predict the exact event; test one ordinary turnover and see whether the annual result still feels worthwhile.
 
One caveat on the larger-repair reserve: it shouldn’t substitute for targeted inspection. Coastal exposure can make the condition of roofing, drainage, exterior materials and corrosion-prone fittings more important than the building’s general appearance. Use inspection findings to shape the reserve instead of selecting a round percentage.
 
The unresolved item is rent evidence. Before debating whether the final net yield is adequate, ask for genuinely comparable lease support for a 4-bed home with the same location and letting format. Then collect property-specific insurance and owner-charge figures, estimate applicable tax based on your circumstances, add purchase costs to the capital base, and stress financing. If the deal only works at A$8,060 every month with little turnover or repair spending, it isn’t conservative yet.
 
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