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One clarification I should have included: what should count as time on market when a listing is withdrawn and later returns? Treating it as new stock could make the 97-day figure misleading. I’m also interested in when the first price cut happens, rather than only the eventual reduction.

Using active asking prices gives a current picture but no final outcome; relying only on completed sales gives firmer evidence but may lag behind the market. Neither feels sufficient for the Berlin apartments I am following. The group is listed from €1,049,000 to €1,573,000, with about 6.5%...

I would read it as condition and seller motivation before calling a market change. A 97-day figure can mix freshly renovated studios with tired units whose owners started too high. The strongest test would be completed sales: asking-price cuts tell you sellers are adjusting, but not what buyers...

I wouldn’t choose a target net yield until the rent assumption is proven. Tenant turnover may create vacancy and refurbishment costs, but it does not necessarily mean you can reset the rent to whatever the model assumes. Run three versions: current rent with normal costs, a vacancy/repair year...